Método de muertes excesivas del Instituto Milken

Le tocó a Puerto Rico esta vez sufrir las consecuencias del Método de Muertes Excesivas del Instituto Milken de la Escuela de salud Pública de la Universidad George Washington. No podemos hablar aquí ahora de los 12 trailers con mercancías abandonados porque tenemos que aclarar si han sido 18, 64 ó 3290 los muertos en Puerto Rico en el último año.

La Alcaldesa de San Juan, Carmen Yulín Cruz con el recién excarcelado terrorista Oscar Lopez Rivera y el Representante Demócrata Luis Gutierrez
La Alcaldesa de San Juan con el recién excarcelado terrorista Oscar Lopez Rivera y el Representante Demócrata Luis Gutierrez

Carmen Yulín Cruz, Alcaldesa de San Juan |

“El presidente sigue agregando insulto a los damnificados y pienso que sus palabras son despreciables”, dijo a CNN la Alcaldesa de San Juan, Carmen Yulín Cruz, una Socialista Demócrata. “Dice (el Presidente) que ha hecho un buen trabajo, cuando en realidad 3 mil personas han muerto”.

Tweets del Presidente Donald J. Trump – @realDonaldTrump el 13 de Septiembre del 2018

“3000 personas no murieron en los dos huracanes que azotaron a Puerto Rico. Cuando salí de la isla, DESPUÉS de que la tormenta había golpeado, tenían entre 6 y 18 muertes. Con el paso del tiempo, no subió demasiado. Luego, mucho tiempo después, empezaron a reportar números realmente grandes, como 3000. Esto fue hecho por los Demócratas para hacerme quedar tan mal como sea posible cuando estaba recaudando con éxito miles de millones de dólares para ayudar a reconstruir Puerto Rico. Si una persona murió por cualquier motivo, como la vejez, simplemente agréguela a la lista. Mala política. ¡Amo a Puerto Rico!”

Original tweets in English
“3000 people did not die in the two hurricanes that hit Puerto Rico. When I left the Island, AFTER the storm had hit, they had anywhere from 6 to 18 deaths. As time went by it did not go up by much. Then, a long time later, they started to report really large numbers, like 3000. This was done by the Democrats in order to make me look as bad as possible when I was successfully raising Billions of Dollars to help rebuild Puerto Rico. If a person died for any reason, like old age, just add them onto the list. Bad politics. I love Puerto Rico!”

Lo que los terroristas informáticos publican

El 13 de septiembre, Trump rechazó la estimación oficial de Puerto Rico en dos tweets matutinos.

Los tweets de Trump sobre el número de muertos por el Huracán María

Estimando los muertos por el Huracán María

El 28 de Agosto, el Instituto Milken de la Escuela de Salud Pública de la Universidad George Washington publicó un informe que estimaba que hubo 2975 “muertes excesivas en Puerto Rico debido al Huracán María” durante un período de aproximadamente seis meses, desde Septiembre del 2017 hasta fines de Febrero del 2018.

La cifra de 2975 no es un recuento exacto de muertes relacionadas con el huracán, pero los investigadores dijeron que tienen un 95 por ciento de confianza en que el número de muertes directas e indirectas está entre 2658 y 3290. La información proviene de un estudio independiente encargado por Puerto Rico y llevado a cabo por investigadores de la Escuela de Salud Pública del Instituto Milken de la Universidad George Washington en New York.

Los investigadores realizaron un “estudio de exceso de mortalidad”, que tiene en cuenta el número habitual de muertes que podrían esperarse desde septiembre de 2017 hasta febrero de 2018. La cifra de 2.975 es el número estimado de muertes “excesivas” que los investigadores dicen que ocurrieron durante ese tiempo.

La Tabla 1 del informe muestra el número de muertes “observadas”, “predichas” y “excesivas”. Durante el período posterior al huracán hubo 16.608 muertes “observadas” y 13.633 muertes “predichas”, lo que significa que 2.975 “muertes excesivas” estuvieron “relacionadas con el Huracán María“.

Original information in English

“The President keeps adding insult to injury and I think his words are despicable,” San Juan Mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz (Democratic Socialist) told CNN. “He says he has done a good job when 3,000 people have died.”

On September 13, Trump rejected Puerto Rico’s official estimate in two early morning tweets.

Trump’s False Tweets on Hurricane Maria’s Death Toll

By Eugene Kiely, Robert Farley, Lori Robertson and D’Angelo Gore – Posted on September 13, 2018
FactCheck.org – A Project of The Annenberg Public Policy Center
APPC’s ongoing funding comes from an endowment established for it by the Annenberg Foundation in 1993

Estimating Hurricane Deaths

On Aug. 28, the Milken Institute School of Public Health released a report estimating that there were 2,975 “excess deaths in Puerto Rico due to Hurricane Maria” over about a six-month period, from September 2017 through the end of February 2018.

The 2,975 figure is not an exact count of hurricane-related deaths. But the researchers said they are 95 percent confident that the number of direct and indirect deaths falls between 2,658 and 3,290. It was an independent study commissioned by Puerto Rico and undertaken by researchers at George Washington University’s Milken Institute School of Public Health.

The researchers did an “excess mortality study,” which takes into account the usual number of deaths that could be expected from September 2017 through February 2018. The 2,975 figure is the estimated number of “excess” deaths that researchers say occurred during that time.

Table 1 of the report shows the number of “observed,” “predicted” and “excess” number of deaths during the post-hurricane period. There were 16,608 “observed” deaths and 13,633 “predicted” deaths — meaning that 2,975 “excess deaths” were “related to Hurricane Maria.”

Kathleen Hall Jamieson

Director, FactCheck.org | A Project of The Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania

Kathleen Hall Jamieson is the Elizabeth Ware Packard Professor of Communication at the University of Pennsylvania’s Annenberg School for Communication, the Walter and Leonore Director of the university’s Annenberg Public Policy Center, and Program Director of the Annenberg Retreat at Sunnylands. Five of the 15 books that Jamieson has authored or co-authored have received a total of eight political science or communication book awards (Packaging the Presidency, Eloquence in an Electronic Age, Spiral of Cynicism, Presidents Creating the Presidency, and The Obama Victory.) She recently co-edited The Oxford Handbook of Political Communication (2017) and The Oxford Handbook of the Science of Science Communication (2017). Jamieson has won university-wide teaching awards at each of the three universities at which she has taught and has delivered the American Political Science Association’s Ithiel de Sola Poole Lecture, the National Communication Association’s Arnold Lecture, and the NASEM Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education Henry and Bryna David Lecture. Her paper “Implications of the Demise of ‘Fact’ in Political Discourse” received the American Philosophical Society’s 2016 Henry Allen Moe Prize. Jamieson’s work has been funded by the FDA and the MacArthur, Ford, Carnegie, Pew, Robert Wood Johnson, Packard, and Annenberg Foundations. She is the co-founder of FactCheck.org and its subsidiary site, SciCheck, and director of The Sunnylands Constitution Project, which has produced more than 30 award-winning films on the Constitution for high school students. Jamieson is a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the American Philosophical Society, the American Academy of Political and Social Science, and the International Communication Association, and a past president of the American Academy of Political and Social Science.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.